How many predictive MPSe and CAS are the best sound winner?

Although the sound branch of the Academy for Film Arts and Sciences combined the best editing of the sound and the best mixing of the Oscar sound into one category for the best sound in 2020 (The sound of metal He was the first combined winner of 2021), there are still two organizations that respect the sound work separately, and both hosted their awards ceremonies this weekend.

The editors of the movie sound and cinema audio society represent sound editors and sound mixers. For years, they have been awards that represent – both their nominations and their winners – studied because of the possible traces of what to expect from the sound branch of the Academy.

The academy’s sound branch-which currently consists of 551 people, or approximately five percent of the total membership in the organization-has always determined only the nominations for the Oscar-related Oscar. And he has always joined him the rest of the Academy in determining the winners of the Oscar -related Oscar.

During the three latest prize seasons, from the merger of two soundhouses into one, has one of the guilds associated with the sound-Pse or the CAS-assembly that it is more predictable than the Oscar than the other? The answer is complicated.

It is important to start with the note that the CAS award has one The main prize that recognizes the sound mixing of live features (and equivalent awards that recognize the sound of mixing animated and documentary features), while MPSE’s Golden Reel has awards three Rewards considered equally important. They recognize dialogue features/editing ADR, effects/Foley work and music editing.

Last year CAS gave its main prize OppenheimerWhile Oscar was assigned Zone of interest. In three years before that, CAS and the Academy gave their sound prizes in the same three films: Upper gun: Maverick,, Dune and The sound of metal. It’s a star record. But before that, they were often, but not always on the same page. 20000., Ford against Ferrari was the winner of the CAS; Also won the Oscar for the best editing of the sound but the sound mixing went 1917. All three went Bohemian rapsody In 2019 and Mold In 2018, 2017, La la la land won CAS but the Academy awarded an Oscar to edit sound Arrival And the sound that mixes the Oscar to Ridge.

Last year the Academy awarded the best sound Oppenheimerwho won the mpse -ov dialogue/ADR and Foley Awards; Maestro Won the MPSE reward for editing music. 2023 and 2022, the possible best winners of the Oscar – Upper gun: Maverick and Dune – First he won only the best Foley on MPSE. 2001., The sound of metal Won an Oscar but did not have love at the Golden Ring Awards, and in 2020 the eventual winner of the Oscar 1917 achieved the best dialog/adr mpse, while Ford against Ferrari Won the best Foley and Jojo rabbit He won the best music. A year before that, the great winner of Oscar and CAS, Bohemian rapsodyHe only achieved the best dialog/adr on MPSE.

Now for this year’s nominee for the Oscar with the best sound. Completely unknown He nominated CAS and MPSE (for dialogue/adr and music editing). Dunes: the second part He received the CAS nom and NOM for all three mpse honors. Emilia Perez It was transmitted by CAS, but received MPSE Music Edit Kimat. AND Evil They nominated CAS and MPSE (for dialogue/adr and music editing).

This year’s fifth nominated for the Oscar with the best sound, an animated feature Wild robotrepresents an interesting case. It was nominated by CAS in the feature category of animation and mpse to edit sound in animation features. The last time an animated feature was nominated for an Academy Award with sound in the first year of the Unified Sound category. That movie, Soulwas nominated for — and won – the same awards for which Wild robot was nominated in CAS and MPSE (The sound of metal Won the year Soul was nominated on Oscars).

Is any of the above -mentioned overlap causative or random?? The latter seems more likely, since, again, 95 percent of voters who determine the winner of the best sound of Oscar not Members of the sound community in general.

Perhaps for this reason the Academy awarded her Oscar -related Oscar -nominated Oscars for the best images, as was the case in each of the last three years, because these are nominated films that have most likely seen and loved; and/or movies where sound, or lack of the same, front and central (like The sound of metalwhat was the hearing loss, or Zone of interestwhich was observed by the subtle use of sound to tell the story of Auschwitz).

What does this mean for this year’s best nominated for an Oscar? Well, four out of five nominated for the best picture (Completely unknown,, Dunes: the second part,, Emilia Pérez and Evil). And four of the five are musicals or some of his variations (Completely unknown,, Emilia Pérez,, Evil and Wild robot), while the second sound focused on the continuation of the past of the best sound winner (Dunes: the second part).

In other words, your assumption is as good as ours.